Sporting Braga vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
SLB
5 - 1
SPB
59%
23%
19%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SPB
2 - 0
UNM
79%
15%
7%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
SPB
4 - 1
FEN
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BEL
3 - 0
SPB
25%
27%
48%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
FEN
1 - 0
SPB
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
SHA
8 - 1
MET
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SHA
1 - 2
VOR
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MEZ
0 - 0
SHA
5%
12%
84%
|
90 | 58 | 32 | -6 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
AND
0 - 1
SHA
22%
22%
56%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
DNI
4 - 1
SHA
17%
20%
63%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |