Sporting Braga vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
51%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
SPB
2 - 1
PAÇ
61%
23%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2004 |
RIO
0 - 0
SPB
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2004 |
SPB
0 - 0
ALV
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
BMA
0 - 2
SPB
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
SPB
0 - 0
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 0
BOA
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2004 |
MUD
1 - 1
FCP
71%
18%
12%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2004 |
FCP
4 - 1
BEL
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2004 |
ACA
0 - 1
FCP
17%
24%
60%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
FCP
2 - 1
MUD
30%
25%
45%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | -1 |