Sporting Braga vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 0
SCP
39%
24%
37%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
FAM
1 - 2
SPB
17%
21%
62%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 0
SPB
43%
24%
33%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
SLB
3 - 2
SPB
46%
23%
31%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 1
VIT
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
SLB
1 - 1
EST
81%
13%
6%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
EST
1 - 2
ARO
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
EST
1 - 3
MOR
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
EST
0 - 4
FCP
16%
22%
62%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
SCP
5 - 1
EST
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |