Sporting Braga vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
48.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
SPB
12%
20%
68%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
SPB
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SPB
0 - 1
GFC
73%
18%
9%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
SPB
2 - 0
MON
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BOA
1 - 1
SPB
16%
23%
62%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
SLB
2 - 1
EST
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
AJA
0 - 1
SLB
51%
22%
27%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
SLB
1 - 1
VIZ
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
SLB
10%
17%
73%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
SLB
3 - 0
VIT
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |