Sporting Braga vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
37%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
FAM
2 - 2
SPB
11%
18%
71%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
SPB
3 - 0
VIT
67%
19%
14%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
FCP
2 - 3
SPB
53%
22%
25%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
SPB
11%
18%
70%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
ROM
3 - 1
SPB
56%
21%
24%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 0
BOA
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
BEL
0 - 3
SLB
9%
18%
74%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 0
EST
80%
13%
7%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 0
RIO
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
ARS
3 - 2
SLB
52%
23%
26%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |