Sporting Braga vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
40%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
SPB
13%
20%
68%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
SPB
5 - 0
TOR
90%
8%
2%
|
86 | 45 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
SPB
2 - 1
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
SCP
2 - 0
SPB
34%
24%
42%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
BOA
1 - 4
SPB
9%
18%
74%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
FCP
1 - 1
SLB
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
ESA
0 - 4
SLB
4%
11%
85%
|
87 | 54 | 33 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 0
TON
89%
9%
2%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
SLB
14%
20%
67%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
SLB
2 - 1
POR
89%
9%
3%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |