Sporting Braga vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
55%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
BMA
2 - 2
SPB
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
SPB
0 - 1
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 1
SPB
57%
23%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
SPB
0 - 0
GFC
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2003 |
BOA
2 - 1
SPB
61%
24%
16%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
SLB
2 - 1
VAR
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
PAÇ
1 - 3
SLB
21%
23%
56%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
SLB
1 - 0
SAN
75%
16%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
ACA
1 - 4
SLB
20%
22%
58%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2003 |
SLB
0 - 1
FCP
36%
25%
38%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |