Sporting Braga vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
52.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
FAR
1 - 0
SPB
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
SPB
1 - 0
CAM
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
FEL
1 - 1
SPB
48%
27%
26%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
BOA
5 - 2
SPB
64%
23%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
SPB
0 - 3
FCP
29%
28%
44%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1995 |
BYM
4 - 1
SLB
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
SLB
1 - 1
BOA
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
FCP
3 - 0
SLB
45%
26%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1995 |
RJC
2 - 2
SLB
34%
28%
39%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
SLB
4 - 1
LEC
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | +1 |