Sporting Braga vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
BMA
0 - 2
SPB
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
SPB
0 - 0
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
NAV
2 - 3
SPB
40%
26%
35%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2004 |
GFC
1 - 0
SPB
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2004 |
SPB
1 - 1
MOR
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ALV
2 - 1
PAÇ
47%
26%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2004 |
RIO
1 - 2
ALV
61%
23%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2004 |
BOA
2 - 1
ALV
61%
25%
15%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2004 |
ALV
1 - 2
BMA
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
ALV
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |