Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 3-2
Sporting Braga vs AIK Solna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
AIK
1 - 1
SPB
49%
27%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
SPB
0 - 2
ANG
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
SPB
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
SPB
2 - 0
NAC
69%
19%
13%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
SPB
3 - 0
AVE
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AIK Solna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
AIK
0 - 1
KAL
64%
23%
14%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
AIK
1 - 1
SPB
49%
27%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
AIK
2 - 0
ZEL
55%
26%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
AIK
1 - 0
NOR
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
ZEL
0 - 0
AIK
35%
27%
38%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |