Sporting Braga vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
GFC
2 - 2
SPB
22%
25%
53%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FEI
1 - 4
SPB
14%
25%
62%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SPB
2 - 1
UDL
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 3
SPB
25%
27%
49%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
SPB
4 - 0
VIT
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ACA
0 - 1
PAÇ
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FCP
1 - 1
ACA
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FEI
1 - 1
ACA
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ACA
0 - 0
SLB
15%
22%
63%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
4 - 1
ACA
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |