Sporting Braga vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
15.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
ELF
2 - 0
SPB
47%
28%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
SPB
1 - 2
ELF
48%
27%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 1
SPB
60%
25%
16%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SPB
1 - 3
SLB
27%
26%
48%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2009 |
BEL
0 - 5
SPB
35%
30%
36%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
VIT
3 - 2
ACA
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
ACA
3 - 1
NAV
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
LEX
0 - 1
ACA
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ACA
0 - 0
SCP
21%
26%
52%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
ACA
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |