Sporting Braga vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
VST
1 - 2
SPB
41%
29%
31%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2006 |
SEV
2 - 0
SPB
78%
16%
6%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
SPB
3 - 1
SLB
31%
27%
43%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2006 |
SCP
3 - 0
SPB
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2006 |
SPB
4 - 0
SLI
41%
27%
31%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
ACA
3 - 1
BMA
50%
27%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
FCP
2 - 1
ACA
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
ACA
2 - 0
EST
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
UDL
2 - 0
ACA
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
ACA
2 - 0
AVE
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |