Sporting Braga vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
RIO
2 - 3
SPB
18%
22%
60%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
MFF
0 - 2
SPB
28%
24%
48%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SPB
1 - 0
VIT
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ARO
0 - 6
SPB
11%
20%
69%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SPB
5 - 0
MAR
76%
17%
8%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
KOL
0 - 1
FCU
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
FCU
0 - 1
UNI
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCU
1 - 1
BYM
5%
10%
85%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
S04
1 - 6
FCU
26%
24%
50%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCU
2 - 1
RBL
21%
23%
57%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |