Braga U23 vs Portimonense U23 analysis


45	ELO	38
-4.6%	Tilt	-13.8%
5963º	General ELO ranking	7109º
124º	Country ELO ranking	165º
ELO win probability

57%

Braga U23

22.6%

Draw

20.4%

Portimonense U23

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

57%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%

22.6%

Draw

0-0

5.7%

1-1

10.7%

2-2

5%

3-3

1%

4-4

0.1%

0

22.6%

20.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-18%

-24%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

3º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

30

1º

2º

24

7º

8º

7º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

6º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	35	24	1º	100%
3º	30	24	2º	100%
4º	28	23	3º	100%
2º	30	22	4º	100%
5º	26	18	5º	100%
7º	23	17	6º	100%
6º	24	14	7º	100%
8º	21	13	8º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Mid-table	100%	0%
Relegation	0%	100%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Braga U23

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
11 Feb. 2025	SAN 3 - 2 BRA 36% 27% 37%	45	37	8	0
04 Feb. 2025	BRA 1 - 0 FAR 50% 25% 26%	44	44	0	+1
28 Jan. 2025	RIO 0 - 1 BRA 37% 26% 37%	44	38	6	0
21 Jan. 2025	BRA 3 - 0 LEX 70% 18% 13%	43	32	11	+1
10 Jan. 2025	ACV 2 - 2 BRA 57% 22% 21%	42	46	4	+1

Matches

Portimonense U23

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
11 Feb. 2025	POR 1 - 1 MAF 46% 22% 33%	39	39	0	0
05 Feb. 2025	POR 1 - 0 SAN 45% 22% 34%	38	38	0	+1
29 Jan. 2025	FAR 2 - 0 POR 55% 23% 22%	39	43	4	-1
21 Jan. 2025	POR 0 - 2 RIO 55% 22% 23%	40	37	3	-1
15 Jan. 2025	POR 0 - 3 ACV 40% 25% 35%	41	46	5	-1