Sporting Braga II vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
30.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 0
BRA
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 1
LEX
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
ORI
0 - 0
BRA
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
POR
1 - 5
BRA
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 2
SPC
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 1
SCP
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
VAR
54%
26%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 1
ACV
48%
28%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 0
VAR
30%
27%
44%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 0
POR
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |