Sporting Braga II vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
4º
3º
9
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 0
BRA
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
ALV
41%
25%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VIA
0 - 2
BRA
21%
25%
54%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
FAF
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 3
FEL
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 1
LUS
52%
25%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 0
SPC
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 1
SPC
21%
24%
55%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SPC
3 - 2
ACA
48%
25%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
SPC
2 - 0
AMO
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |