Sporting Braga II vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
10º
4º
25
6º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VSC
2 - 2
BRA
32%
25%
44%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 1
BRA
37%
28%
35%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 1
CAN
62%
22%
17%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
BRA
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
VAR
28%
28%
44%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FAF
0 - 0
PAR
30%
29%
41%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FAF
1 - 2
ANA
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 0
FAF
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
FAF
5 - 0
RIB
36%
22%
41%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FAF
0 - 3
VIL
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -2 |