Sporting Bertrange vs Schengen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
60.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
15º
13º
54
2º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Bertrange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SYR
4 - 2
SPO
65%
19%
17%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
KOE
3 - 0
SPO
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 3
RBE
43%
22%
35%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 0
SAN
40%
23%
38%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +3 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 2
USS
47%
21%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Schengen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SCH
3 - 1
SAN
77%
15%
9%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
UKT
3 - 4
SCH
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SCH
3 - 2
URE
75%
15%
10%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 6
BWI
76%
15%
10%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
RES
1 - 0
SCH
59%
20%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |