Sporting Bertrange vs Red Star Merl-Belair analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
31.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
15º
13º
35
4º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Bertrange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
TBB
2 - 1
SPO
74%
15%
12%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 3
SCH
19%
21%
61%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SYR
4 - 2
SPO
65%
19%
17%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
KOE
3 - 0
SPO
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 3
RBE
43%
22%
35%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Red Star Merl-Belair
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
RSM
3 - 2
SAN
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CBG
2 - 2
RSM
82%
11%
8%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RSM
1 - 2
UKT
27%
20%
53%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
RES
2 - 1
RSM
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
RSM
1 - 1
BWI
39%
21%
39%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |