Sporting Ben Arous vs ES Rogba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
46.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Ben Arous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
SPO
4 - 0
MBO
45%
28%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
COS
2 - 1
SPO
44%
27%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 0
CRO
32%
28%
40%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
SFA
1 - 0
SPO
51%
26%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 0
RAD
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
ES Rogba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 0
ROG
12%
19%
69%
|
52 | 16 | 36 | 0 |