Sporting Ben Arous vs SC Moknine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
6º
11º
8º
29
7º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 27 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 25 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Ben Arous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 1
SPO
50%
27%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 2
CSH
13%
25%
62%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
EGS
2 - 0
SPO
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 1
STA
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 1
ZAR
14%
29%
58%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
SC Moknine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
MOK
0 - 1
CSH
25%
28%
47%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 0
MOK
45%
26%
30%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MOK
2 - 1
EMM
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
STA
2 - 2
MOK
51%
28%
21%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MOK
0 - 1
CRO
31%
27%
42%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |