Sporting Ben Arous vs SA Menzel Bourguiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Ben Arous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
CSH
0 - 0
SPO
68%
22%
10%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 3
CHE
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
STA
1 - 0
SPO
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
SPO
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 0
JEN
41%
28%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SA Menzel Bourguiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
MBO
2 - 1
SPO
55%
23%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2018 |
MBO
2 - 1
JEN
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2017 |
COS
4 - 0
MBO
71%
20%
9%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
MBO
0 - 1
CSH
23%
27%
51%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
CHE
0 - 2
MBO
63%
22%
16%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |