Sporting Ben Arous vs CS Msaken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
47%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
6º
11º
8º
26
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 27 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 25 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Ben Arous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
EMM
2 - 0
SPO
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 0
STA
18%
32%
51%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
KAL
1 - 0
SPO
54%
26%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 0
MOK
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 1
SPO
50%
27%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CS Msaken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
CRO
1 - 1
CSH
23%
27%
50%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2022 |
EGS
1 - 0
CRO
59%
24%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
CRO
1 - 4
ZAR
30%
30%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
STA
1 - 0
CRO
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
CRO
2 - 1
JSO
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |