Sporting Ben Arous vs US Ben Guerdane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Ben Arous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SPO
4 - 2
ENS
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
KAL
3 - 2
SPO
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
ASA
2 - 1
SPO
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 0
ESH
21%
27%
52%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 3
GRO
20%
27%
53%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
US Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 0
CRO
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
MED
0 - 1
BEN
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
LAN
2 - 1
BEN
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
BEN
3 - 0
ASA
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 0
OUE
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |