Sporting Ben Arous vs AS Ariana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Ben Arous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
CRO
2 - 2
SPO
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 0
GAB
17%
26%
57%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
TAT
2 - 1
SPO
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ESH
1 - 1
SPO
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 1
SFA
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AS Ariana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
ASA
3 - 0
SEL
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
CRO
0 - 0
ASA
50%
26%
25%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SFA
2 - 1
ASA
44%
26%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 1
TAT
34%
26%
41%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
GAB
2 - 1
ASA
68%
21%
11%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |