Sporting Bazan vs Union Carrascal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
36%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Bazan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SPB
0 - 1
VDP
52%
21%
27%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
FOB
2 - 1
SPB
46%
22%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SPB
0 - 0
BRO
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 2
SPB
58%
19%
23%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SPB
2 - 2
CAS
13%
16%
71%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Union Carrascal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 1
UCA
46%
22%
33%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
UCA
1 - 0
NCD
49%
22%
29%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
CFN
2 - 3
UCA
38%
21%
41%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CAS
7 - 0
UCA
83%
11%
7%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
UCA
3 - 2
LAB
24%
22%
54%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |