Sporting Bazan vs Union Carrascal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
57.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Bazan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LAB
3 - 2
SPB
36%
22%
41%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SPB
4 - 1
LFB
47%
22%
31%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LEG
3 - 1
SPB
12%
17%
72%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SPB
3 - 0
ALA
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
SPB
2 - 2
CAD
76%
15%
10%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Union Carrascal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
UCA
2 - 1
SPH
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MUN
1 - 1
UCA
15%
18%
67%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
UCA
1 - 0
CUL
68%
17%
16%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MDE
2 - 1
UCA
28%
22%
50%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
UCA
3 - 0
GES
94%
5%
1%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |