Sporting de Alcazar vs UD Carrión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting de Alcazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
TER
1 - 2
ALC
23%
22%
55%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
ALC
1 - 1
ATT
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
ALM
2 - 1
ALC
29%
24%
47%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ALC
1 - 0
CLE
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
ROD
1 - 0
ALC
37%
24%
38%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UD Carrión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
UDC
4 - 2
MOT
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
ADS
0 - 2
UDC
54%
22%
23%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
UDC
3 - 1
CDB
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CAM
0 - 0
UDC
66%
19%
15%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
UDC
1 - 4
ALM
18%
19%
63%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |