Sporting de Alcazar vs Motilla CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
46.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting de Alcazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FUE
0 - 2
ALC
36%
22%
42%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
QUI
2 - 1
ALC
58%
22%
19%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 0
CAM
31%
24%
44%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TER
1 - 1
ALC
55%
21%
24%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ALC
0 - 0
SOC
51%
23%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Motilla CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MOT
2 - 1
QUI
39%
24%
37%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 1
MOT
43%
23%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MOT
3 - 0
TER
54%
21%
25%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SOC
1 - 3
MOT
33%
24%
43%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MOT
3 - 1
ALM
11%
17%
72%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | +3 |