Sporting de Alcazar vs CD Manchego Provencio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
7.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting de Alcazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
RRB
0 - 2
ALC
17%
21%
62%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ALC
4 - 0
MIG
74%
17%
9%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LSO
0 - 1
ALC
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
UDC
0 - 2
ALC
28%
22%
50%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ALC
2 - 0
TER
54%
23%
23%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Manchego Provencio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MAN
2 - 1
MOT
11%
19%
70%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ADS
5 - 1
MAN
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MAN
1 - 1
CDB
23%
23%
54%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MAN
1 - 2
CAM
15%
21%
63%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
ALM
5 - 0
MAN
83%
12%
5%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | -1 |