Sporting Alcalá vs Rayo Garena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
47.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CDI
2 - 1
SAL
82%
11%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 3
NAY
28%
21%
50%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAM
3 - 0
SAL
54%
20%
25%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 3
REM
61%
19%
20%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
STO
0 - 2
SAL
51%
20%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Garena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
RGA
4 - 3
FSF
54%
20%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CAB
2 - 0
RGA
26%
21%
53%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
RGA
0 - 0
MAJ
32%
21%
47%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
RGA
4 - 0
OCB
68%
16%
16%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FAL
1 - 3
RGA
46%
21%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |