Pernambucano 1 Final Stages Final
Global 2-2
Sport Recife vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAL
81%
14%
6%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
SPO
3 - 0
NAU
53%
24%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
RFC
0 - 1
SPO
8%
15%
77%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
SSS
0 - 2
SPO
8%
18%
74%
|
68 | 30 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
SPO
3 - 0
ACA
87%
11%
3%
|
68 | 30 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
SPO
3 - 0
NAU
53%
24%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 2
AFO
85%
11%
4%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
RFC
1 - 4
NAU
12%
18%
70%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |