Sport Recife vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
RFC
0 - 1
SPO
8%
15%
77%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
SSS
0 - 2
SPO
8%
18%
74%
|
68 | 30 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
SPO
3 - 0
ACA
87%
11%
3%
|
68 | 30 | 38 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
TRE
2 - 2
SPO
14%
22%
64%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
AFO
0 - 0
SPO
9%
18%
73%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 2
AFO
85%
11%
4%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
RFC
1 - 4
NAU
12%
18%
70%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
SAL
2 - 3
NAU
19%
24%
57%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
NAU
4 - 1
ACA
88%
10%
2%
|
64 | 30 | 34 | +1 |