Sport Recife vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
SPO
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 0
POR
84%
12%
4%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
SPO
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 1
SPO
15%
22%
64%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 0
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 3
NAU
29%
26%
46%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
NAU
3 - 5
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
CEN
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
NAU
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
POR
1 - 4
NAU
18%
23%
59%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | +1 |