Pernambucano 1 Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Sport Recife vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 2
SPO
45%
25%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 4
PAY
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
POR
1 - 3
SPO
12%
20%
68%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
PAY
2 - 1
SPO
27%
24%
49%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 2
SPO
45%
25%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
NAU
2 - 1
FOR
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 2
NAU
16%
22%
62%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 0
NAU
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 2
SER
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | -1 |