Sport Recife vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 3
SPO
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
SPO
3 - 2
COT
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
PPE
3 - 1
SPO
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
SPO
0 - 1
IFC
66%
22%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
SPO
3 - 0
ARN
73%
19%
8%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 4
PAR
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BAH
3 - 0
NAU
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
NAU
2 - 1
AMF
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
SER
1 - 0
NAU
14%
19%
67%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
ASA
2 - 0
NAU
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |