Copa Brasil Sub 17 Quarter-finals
Global 0-3
Sport Recife U17 vs São Paulo U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
69.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
CEO
2 - 0
RFE
12%
15%
73%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2025 |
RFE
4 - 1
CEO
75%
15%
11%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
RFE
4 - 2
ALE
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 1
RFE
74%
16%
10%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
RFE
1 - 2
FLU
15%
18%
67%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
SPA
3 - 2
ATH
42%
21%
37%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2025 |
ATH
0 - 1
SPA
55%
20%
25%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
SPA
6 - 2
ISM
81%
12%
7%
|
46 | 9 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
SPA
21%
22%
57%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 1
PAL
26%
21%
53%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |