Sport Recife U23 vs Fluminense U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
9º
16º
16º
9
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
17 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
9 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 8 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 7 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 6 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
2 | 2 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
SPR
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
CEC
2 - 0
SPR
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
SPR
1 - 1
CEC
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
SPR
3 - 0
BOT
45%
25%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 1
SPR
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 0
CRB
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
CEC
2 - 1
FLU
37%
26%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 1
CEC
53%
24%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
FLU
1 - 0
FOR
32%
28%
40%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 2
FLU
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |