Benfica Castelo Branco vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
BEN
7 - 2
FER
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SER
0 - 0
BEN
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 1
LOU
49%
24%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ORI
1 - 0
BEN
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 1
MAF
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SER
2 - 1
UDL
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
UDL
1 - 2
ORI
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
PIN
1 - 2
UDL
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
UDL
2 - 1
FER
70%
18%
11%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LOU
0 - 2
UDL
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |