Benfica Castelo Branco vs Operário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
UDL
1 - 1
BEN
52%
26%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BEN
8 - 0
NAV
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BEN
3 - 0
CAR
86%
10%
3%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
BEN
5 - 0
ANM
84%
12%
4%
|
55 | 29 | 26 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
1DE
0 - 3
BEN
35%
29%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FCB
2 - 1
OPE
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
UDL
0 - 1
OPE
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
OPE
1 - 3
FAT
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ADN
1 - 1
OPE
19%
24%
56%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
OPE
3 - 0
ACA
64%
21%
14%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |