Benfica Castelo Branco vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 0
BEN
13%
22%
65%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 0
PEN
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 0
BEN
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 0
SER
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ADM
0 - 1
BEN
21%
24%
56%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
NAV
0 - 1
UDL
18%
25%
57%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
NAV
60%
24%
16%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 0
NAV
27%
25%
47%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 1
CRA
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
NAV
21%
25%
54%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |