Spokane Velocity vs Union Omaha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
52.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
9º
5º
14
4º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
25 | 53 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 51 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 48 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 48 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
|
1º
|
29 | 47 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 44 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 41 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 40 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 38 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 38 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 36 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 35 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 30 |
13º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 28 |
14º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
95% | 92.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
5% | 7.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spokane Velocity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
CRW
3 - 0
SPV
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
WES
3 - 0
SPV
12%
17%
71%
|
48 | 14 | 34 | -2 |
| 03 Jul. 2025 |
SPV
1 - 1
TFC
84%
11%
6%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
RIC
0 - 1
SPV
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
SPV
2 - 1
FMA
29%
27%
45%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
OMA
1 - 2
TOR
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 2
OMA
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
AVA
2 - 1
OMA
22%
25%
54%
|
74 | 36 | 38 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
OMA
3 - 4
RIC
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2025 |
PHP
3 - 1
OMA
21%
24%
55%
|
75 | 21 | 54 | 0 |