Split vs Zmaj Makarska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
HRV
1 - 0
SPL
18%
22%
60%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
SPL
2 - 2
DZG
7%
14%
79%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
DZG
1 - 0
SPL
94%
5%
2%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2006 |
SPL
3 - 2
HNK
25%
23%
52%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2006 |
HNK
2 - 3
SPL
70%
18%
13%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Zmaj Makarska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
OMI
0 - 4
MAK
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |