Split vs NK Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
INT
1 - 1
SPL
29%
30%
42%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
SPL
0 - 0
SLI
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
STR
2 - 3
SPL
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
SPL
0 - 2
FCA
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SPL
1 - 1
OSI
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
NK Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ZAG
1 - 2
DZG
15%
24%
61%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
ZAG
0 - 2
RIJ
20%
25%
55%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
INT
2 - 2
ZAG
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ZAG
0 - 1
OSI
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
ZAG
1 - 2
HKS
24%
23%
53%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |