Split vs NK Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
INT
0 - 0
SPL
28%
29%
43%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
SPL
2 - 1
OSI
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
HKS
0 - 0
SPL
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2015 |
SPL
2 - 1
LOK
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2015 |
SPL
0 - 1
SAR
40%
26%
35%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
NK Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
ZAG
0 - 2
DZG
25%
25%
50%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
ZAG
3 - 3
RIJ
30%
26%
44%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
INT
1 - 1
ZAG
32%
28%
41%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
ZAG
0 - 1
OSI
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
ZAG
0 - 3
KRK
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |