Split vs NK Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2015 |
SLA
1 - 0
SPL
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
SPL
1 - 5
DZG
30%
27%
44%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
RIJ
2 - 0
SPL
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SPL
3 - 2
OSI
64%
23%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
SPL
1 - 0
HKS
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
NK Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
ZAG
1 - 1
DZG
25%
25%
50%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
OSI
1 - 0
ZAG
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
ZAG
3 - 0
ZAD
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
LOK
1 - 2
ZAG
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SLA
2 - 1
ZAG
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |