Split vs NK Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
SPL
0 - 0
OSI
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
LOK
3 - 2
SPL
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
SPL
3 - 2
ZAG
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ZAD
1 - 0
SPL
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
INT
0 - 2
SPL
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
NK Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
INT
1 - 2
ZAG
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
ZAG
2 - 1
ZAD
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
SPL
3 - 2
ZAG
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
ZAG
2 - 1
IST
47%
27%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
HNK
1 - 1
ZAG
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |