Split vs NK Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
IST
2 - 0
SPL
35%
29%
37%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SPL
2 - 0
RIJ
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ZAD
2 - 1
SPL
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SPL
2 - 0
HNS
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LOK
1 - 0
SPL
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
NK Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
ZAG
2 - 1
INT
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
ZAG
1 - 2
DZG
26%
24%
50%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ZAG
2 - 1
IST
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
RIJ
0 - 1
ZAG
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
DZG
1 - 1
ZAG
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |