Split vs Zagora Unešić analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
44.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
16º
15º
65
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
VOD
4 - 1
SPL
40%
23%
38%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SPL
0 - 0
GOS
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UBV
0 - 1
SPL
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SPL
2 - 1
USK
47%
26%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SMR
1 - 1
SPL
37%
23%
40%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zagora Unešić
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ZAG
3 - 2
NER
82%
11%
6%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
HNK
3 - 2
ZAG
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ZAG
3 - 1
NKG
72%
17%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ZAG
3 - 0
PRB
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VOD
3 - 5
ZAG
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |